Balkan security : recent developments and prospects for the future

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Yannis G. Valinakis

Abstract

By the early 1980s, the once monolithic southern flanks of the Warsaw
Pact and NATO had evolved into an impressively diverse region; the two
NATO members are in a constant posture of confrontation with each other; the two Warsaw Pact countries display important differences in their foreign
policy attitudes; and the two states that remain outside the alliance systems
are engaged in a profound minority dispute (Kossovo). The INF question contributed to a renewed interest in a Balkan nuclear-free zone. In this context the first Conference of Experts of the Balkan countries was convened in Athens in January and February 1984. Another source of concern throughout the Balkans is the fate of minorities. In this connection, significant gaps between the birth rates of majorities and of minorities may become an important long-term factor influencing both the degree of change and the intensity of the problem.



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